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2.4% Growth and Lower Rates: Why Now’s the Time to Invest in Real Estate

21 May, 2025
Table of Contents

    Pakistan's economy is showing signs of sustained recovery in 2025, a development of growing interest to overseas Pakistanis considering real estate investment back home. After months of stabilisation efforts, the tide is turning, offering renewed confidence and a more attractive investment environment. This economic progress isn’t theoretical — it's now being quantified in hard data, painting a more stable and optimistic picture for the year ahead.

     

    Growth Momentum Builds

    According to Reuters, in May 2025, Pakistan’s National Accounts Committee confirmed that the economy grew by 2.4% in the third quarter of the fiscal year ending June. Based on this trajectory, the committee approved a revised provisional GDP growth forecast of 2.68% for FY 2024/25. The total size of the economy is now $410.96 billion, up from $371.66 billion the previous year.

     

    Lower Interest Rates to Stimulate Investment

    Recognising this momentum ,the State Bank of Pakistan took a significant step  by reducing the key policy rate by 100 basis points, bringing it down to 11%. This follows a previous peak of 22%, reflecting confidence in a strengthening inflation outlook and a shift toward supporting economic activity through monetary easing.

    This move marks more than just a policy adjustment, it represents a broader shift in strategy, designed to encourage borrowing, reduce financing costs, and restore confidence across sectors.

     

    Why This Matters for Overseas Investors

    But for overseas Pakistanis, these developments have more than macroeconomic relevance. They influence on-the-ground decisions about where and when to invest.
    In this context, the property market stands out as a sector with strong upside, especially for those seeking secure, tangible assets in a recovering economy. Consider the ripple effects:

    • Lower interest rates ease access to financing, both for developers and buyers.


    • Stronger GDP growth supports real estate demand in urban centres like Lahore and Islamabad.


    • Improved investor sentiment often translates to more stable currency flows and a better outlook for long-term returns.

     


    This is particularly encouraging for overseas buyers focused on luxury apartments and hotel residences, where high-spec design, strong rental potential, and long-term capital appreciation are all key factors.

    A Window of Opportunity

    Taken together, the economic indicators and policy shifts signal that the investment environment is aligning with the long-term interests of overseas buyers. As Pakistan’s GDP growth continues and monetary policy turns supportive, the landscape is becoming more predictable, more accessible, and more investor-friendly.
    For overseas Pakistanis who have been waiting for the right moment to step back into the market, 2025 may offer that moment, not at the peak, but at the turn.

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