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What ADB’s Growth Forecast Means for Pakistan’s Real Estate Market

9 April, 2025
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    In recent data released by the Asian Development Bank (ADB), Pakistan's GDP growth is projected at 2.5% for FY25. This was followed by the projection of 3% in FY26. The forecast was published in the April 2025 Asian Development Outlook and reflects optimism for Pakistan. The country is now showing clear signs of growth and economic stability.

    This outlook is supported by reforms in tax policy and the energy sector. Moreover, the macroeconomic support from the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme also contributed toward this momentum. According to ADB, the continuation of these reforms will be essential to keep momentum going and strengthen economic resilience.

    For overseas investors, this shift points to a more stable, reliable environment—exactly the kind of foundation needed to consider long-term property investments.

    Structural Reforms Strengthen Investor Confidence

    The ADB notes a rebound in private sector investment. This is tied to perceptions of greater stability and better governance. As Pakistan’s economy becomes more structured, businesses are better able to plan, operate, and expand.

    The foreign exchange market is also more stable, inflation is falling, and monetary policy has eased. These changes are making financial decisions simpler for businesses and households alike.

    In this climate, One Homes is building developments in Lahore and Islamabad that give overseas Pakistanis a direct way to take part in this growth. Our properties are designed not just as vacation homes, but as income-generating assets in a fast-growing market. With dollar-linked rental returns, strong capital appreciation, and a lifestyle unmatched in Pakistan, our communities offer clarity and opportunity for overseas buyers.

    Inflation Cools, Demand Builds

    The ADB expects average inflation to fall to 6% in FY2025, and further to 5.8% in FY2026. Lower inflation is driven by easing food prices, stable global oil and commodity rates, and reduced domestic demand.

    These trends, combined with strong remittance flows and a more confident economic environment, are likely to support demand in urban centres like Islamabad and Lahore—the very locations where One Homes has focused its efforts.

    What This Means for Real Estate Investors

    The ADB’s forecast shows progress. The direction is clear—stability is returning, and the economy is moving forward.

    For overseas Pakistanis, this is the right time to invest in the market. With a more stable foundation, real estate is a viable path for building wealth, preserving heritage, or simply creating a home back in Pakistan.

    At One Homes, we are building that future. Our developments are located in Pakistan’s fastest-growing regions. They offer both a world-class lifestyle and a clear investment proposition—vacation homes that also generate income, with returns linked to the dollar and backed by the growth of Pakistan’s most dynamic cities.

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